Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025340 0.030524 0.035962 0.042048 0.048629 0.055495 0.063165
2025-12-28 0.019513 0.027100 0.035587 0.045587 0.056878 0.069085 0.083144
2026-01-04 0.013361 0.021757 0.031800 0.044223 0.058780 0.074979 0.094077
2026-01-11 0.010096 0.019071 0.030457 0.045090 0.062714 0.082724 0.106690
2026-01-18 0.007463 0.016612 0.028943 0.045373 0.065652 0.089078 0.117502
2026-01-25 0.005524 0.014674 0.027779 0.045829 0.068587 0.095259 0.127969
2026-02-01 0.003881 0.012763 0.026371 0.045758 0.070711 0.100352 0.137061
2026-02-08 0.002157 0.010098 0.023530 0.043533 0.069944 0.101829 0.141770
2026-02-15 0.001218 0.008478 0.021985 0.042866 0.071004 0.105402 0.148861
2026-02-22 0.000728 0.007594 0.021457 0.043516 0.073688 0.110903 0.158207
2026-03-01 0.000396 0.006860 0.021067 0.044290 0.076485 0.116510 0.167653
2026-03-08 0.000219 0.006465 0.021198 0.045782 0.080203 0.123240 0.178441
2026-03-15 0.000055 0.005717 0.020673 0.046381 0.082877 0.128868 0.188160
2026-03-22 0.000050 0.006130 0.022371 0.050366 0.090159 0.140338 0.205059
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004830 0.020584 0.048970 0.090119 0.142572 0.210700
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004345 0.020336 0.049891 0.093196 0.148718 0.221099
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003746 0.019730 0.050190 0.095383 0.153711 0.230068
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003256 0.019267 0.050671 0.097792 0.158966 0.239344
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002696 0.018503 0.050596 0.099383 0.163146 0.247271
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001779 0.016470 0.048251 0.097663 0.162972 0.249734
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001301 0.015454 0.047547 0.098229 0.165728 0.255809
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001093 0.015244 0.048233 0.100789 0.171079 0.265122
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000926 0.015117 0.049049 0.103529 0.176663 0.274723